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Analysis: The late development of the steel industry Gairuhezou road?

Analysis: The late development of the steel industry Gairuhezou road?

Release Date:2013-08-12 00:00 Source:http://www.ksyyc.com Click:

When money is no longer the low end and high-end areas began after overcapacity , it seems the future of the steel industry to become more confused . In the past few years, although the field of long-term low-end steel overcapacity , but there are still points of profit , with the steel trading business have gradually moved to the high-end market , the low end of the steel industry overcapacity widely criticized and finally spread to the high end, Jiangsu Heat treatment is a horse Hummer , to the desert you will find yourself running in the wrong direction , do you think the field of high-end steel production reached the day will feel better , not wanted , more competitive ......


From the current perspective, the challenges in the field of high-end steel products mainly from two aspects, one is in great demand did not expect , on the other hand is a lot of pre-production of low-end steel mills into this area. As with the low-end steel market gradually lost competitiveness , those with lower eliminate technical strength steel , the production began to increase R & D investment , the opportunity to high-end steel production reached the field , but because of downstream industries such as steel manufacturing equipment the overall development has not yet upgraded to the level of demand for high-end varieties not so busy , steel blind investment in this area, resulting in a low-cost consequences began the high end .


It is understood that , if calculated in accordance with a reasonable capacity utilization of 80% , currently 10 categories of steel products , only galvanized sheet , rod and steel to achieve a reasonable capacity utilization , other steel products production capacity in excess of the state , especially in profile, in the thick plate , hot-rolled wide strip of high-end products , such as the so-called capacity utilization is less than 70 %. What is the cause of this tragedy it today ?




1 , drilling policy loopholes , eliminate the low-end high


The elimination of backward production capacity is a major feature of China , while Chinese people love to do is drill policy loopholes , thus giving rise to the national side to increase efforts to eliminate backward production capacity , speed of new capacity surge phenomenon. Our policy of the " large-scale equipment " as an important symbol of industrial upgrading , companies across the threshold in order to survive , have " little jig on the big " so steel production capacity increased rather than decreased .


In addition, in 2009 , in response to the economic crisis , China promulgated the iron and steel , including ten industrial revitalization plan , policies to encourage enterprises to develop high-end steel products , iron and steel products to high-end enterprise , terminal , specialization forward, which further boosted the market " eliminating the low end of the high-end " trend. If countries do not strictly control new capacity investment projects, the next phase of China's high-end steel market or to repeat the old disorderly competition .


2 " upgrade " - get together into the high end


This year, the steel industry as a whole to run hard , from January to July , China's crude steel production rose 7.1% over the same period last year, an increase of only 2.1% , the industry average profit margin is only 0.23% . The current production of iron and steel industry overcapacity, simple to use to summarize the total surplus is not comprehensive , the truth should be structural overcapacity. Of course , the steel industry from the previous low-end rush to invest in the field of steel , extends to the realm of high-end steel products . They think this is the transition , but also makes the reality of the decline of high-end products demand, the ultimate high-end steel can sell a low-end price , " upgrade " after the steel industry was not able to get rid of excess capacity difficulties, is still at a loss edges.


3 , pit father " plate and pipe than "


" Board tube ratio" is the so-called plate and steel pipe proportion of high-end products all steel production , China Iron and Steel Industry Association data show that China's steel plate and pipe market and more than 30% , plate and pipe than in developed countries more than 50% . For the developed countries than the " plate and pipe than the" large companies competing on a plate production line and give long steel production line , resulting in the degree of excess capacity plate is much higher than longs . The government again , " large-scale equipment " as an important symbol of industrial upgrading , in the direction of investment guidelines , and guide enterprises to blast furnace, converter more to build bigger, more and more capacity , with a lot of hot rolling , cold rolling mill repeated construction , sheet metal a serious overcapacity, high end eventually escape the fate of excess .


Previously the low end of overcapacity , high-end areas in urgent need of imports, so always say you want to adjust the industrial structure, while the low end is now the face of high excess environment, the development of the road late in the steel industry and Gairuhezou it? Writer is increasingly more puzzled. ( China Industry Research Network )